Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Other 47.7%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 47 minutos
Atrasado23/06/26, 11:35 UTC31/12/39, 23:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be the first woman to set foot on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living?
Manifold MarketsNASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRegras
NASA's Artemis program aims to return humans to the lunar surface for the first time since Apollo 17 in 1972.
- This market resolves to the astronaut who is the first Artemis crew member to make physical contact with the lunar surface during the first successful Artemis lunar landing mission, regardless of mission number.
- Resolution will be based on NASA mission reports, official mission transcripts, press releases, or other authoritative mission documentation.
- If an official determination of "first on the Moon" is made, that determination will be used.
- If no Artemis astronaut lands on the Moon by 1 January 2040, the market resolves N/A.
Mercados abertos
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 802,6 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- € 736,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
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- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be the first Artemis astronaut to set foot on the Moon??
- A Manifold Markets cota Other em 48% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be the first Artemis astronaut to set foot on the Moon? é resolvido?
- Who will be the first Artemis astronaut to set foot on the Moon? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2039.
- Como Who will be the first Artemis astronaut to set foot on the Moon? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: NASA's Artemis program aims to return humans to the lunar surface for the first time since Apollo 17 in 1972.