Who will be First Minister of Scotland at some point in their life?
Política
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Stephen Flynn 52%Líder entre 11 opções
Stephen Flynn 52%Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado8/05/24, 13:23 UTC31/12/50, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be appointed as a Supreme Court Justice in the USA at some point of their life?
Manifold MarketsWho will succeed John Swinney as First Minister of Scotland?
Manifold MarketsJohn Swinney still First Minister of Scotland through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRegras
Add your own answers.
- Any option resolves YES when that person is officially sworn in as First Minister, and resolves NO if that person dies.
- This is about leading the Scottish Government.
- If the title changes, I'll edit the market.
- If Scotland gains independence, market stays open and options can still resolve YES.
- If an independent Scotland does something weird like introduce a president, this market becomes about the role that I think is closest to the current "First Minister" role.
