Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Lee Harvey Oswald (acting alone) 85.5%Líder entre 18 opções
Lee Harvey Oswald (acting alone) 85.5%Previsores
240
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado3/07/23, 07:46 UTC1/01/30, 07:59 UTC
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Resolves to the rough consensus among non-US-state-affiliated scholars, researchers, and historians of the identity of the final orchestrator of the assassination of President John F. Kennedy at the start of 2030 (or N/A if no such consensus exists).
- "Final orchestrator" means the entity most responsible for directly initiating the chain of events that led to the assasination.
- If the CIA enlisted the mafia to help with the assassination, this will resolve 100% CIA.
- If the CIA and mafia are co-equal partners in carrying out the assasination, this will resolve 50% CIA, 50% mafia, etc.
