Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 18:26 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
Barack Obama 73.9%Líder entre 6 opções
Barack Obama 73.9%Previsores
45
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado17/11/24, 10:36 UTC1/01/51, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will all living US presidents attend Donald Trump's funeral?
Manifold MarketsWill all living US presidents attend Joe Biden's funeral?
Manifold MarketsWill all living US presidents attend Barack Obama's funeral?
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Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegras
All listed who are alive when an artificial general intelligence (AGI) is created will resolve YES.
- Any who die before this time will resolve NO.
- Whether AGI has been reached will depend on this market.
- So, there must be proof of an AI passing the Turing test for any living president in this market to resolve YES.
- If any new president is elected before AGI, their name will be added to this market.
