Which Trump 2028 Term prediction category will Manifold perform best relative to Nate Silver?
Política dos EUAOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualConstitutionality (1 of 10 Resolved, Manifold -0.28 (Better) Brier) 13.5%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado18/03/25, 15:21 UTC16/02/30, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Originally from this Article:
- https://www.natesilver.net/p/113-predictions-for-trumps-second
- Overall Competition:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/trumps-second-term-will-manifold-ou?play=true)That question (and this question) uses the time locked percentages from Manifold which was two weeks after Nates' article was published (and is why some questions are excluded).
- Spreadsheet Used For Tracking
- Live Manifold Tracking Market of Individual Questions:
