Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado
Previsão da comunidade atual
Socialdemokraterna (Social democrats) 82.1%+8.5pt
Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+8.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
11/02/24, 9:3819/09/26, 21:59
Tendências
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Regras
Next opportunity to form a new government (regering) is expected to be after the next election on the 13th September 2026.
This market closes one week after the election, and very likely before a new government has formed.
This market could close sooner if a successful vote of no confidence occurs then this is closed a week after the vote.
In the unlikely event no new government is formed after a vote of no confidence or election and a new election is called then this market will open again (if that's possible?) and close again one week after the new election.
This market will resolve Yes for the one party that successfully leads the formation of a new Swedish government, and No on all others (including parties that become part of a coalition government).
To be more precise it resolves Yes for the party that a newly elected Prime Minister is member of.
Perguntas frequentes
Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next??
A Manifold Markets cota Socialdemokraterna (Social democrats) em 82% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
Quando Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next? é resolvido?
Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next? deverá ser resolvido em 19 de setembro de 2026.
Como Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next? é liquidado?
A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Next opportunity to form a new government (regering) is expected to be after the next election on the 13th September 2026.