Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualPolymarket 62.6%Líder entre 8 opções
Previsores
53
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado20/02/25, 00:06 UTC11/11/28, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiRegras
Only trading volume on the final US 2028 presidential election results will count (e.g. Trump v Harris, ie no primary races).
- Any real-money prediction market or betting platform globally counts.
- I will exclude obvious wash trading insofar as I'm able to spot it (not an important factor in the 2024 election, but it might be in the future if these platforms continue to operate without fees).
- I may add more answers to this market if new serious competitors emerge.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Polymarket em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election? é resolvido?
- Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election? deverá ser resolvido em 11 de novembro de 2028.
- Como Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Only trading volume on the final US 2028 presidential election results will count (e.g. Trump v Harris, ie no primary races).