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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Which party will win the Aberdeen South by-election?
Manifold Markets

Which party will win the Aberdeen South by-election?

One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoEurope
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsFechadoSem KYC

Este mercado foi resolvido: Conservative (98.5%)

Resolvido: 19 de jun. de 2026, 06:49

Resultado Vencedor

Conservative

A 7 dias

—

A 24 horas

—

Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
Labour 0.2%
Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores

8

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 17 minutos

11/05/26, 8:2519/06/26, 6:49

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Labour0.5%
Conservative98.5%
Reform UK0.5%
Liberal Democrats0.2%
Green0.2%
Scottish National Party0.5%
Other0.2%
0%25%50%75%100%19 de jun.19 de jun.19 de jun.
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Manifold Markets
Conservative
98.5%
Manifold Markets
Labour
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Reform UK
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Liberal Democrats
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Green
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Scottish National Party
0.5%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

Regras

Which party will win the upcoming by-election in the Aberdeen South constituency?

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves to the party which takes the most votes and so fields an MP to parliament.
  • Market will close at close of polls.
  • If no by-election takes place before the next UK General Election then this market willwill resolve Other.

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Regras

Which party will win the upcoming by-election in the Aberdeen South constituency?

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves to the party which takes the most votes and so fields an MP to parliament.
  • Market will close at close of polls.
  • If no by-election takes place before the next UK General Election then this market willwill resolve Other.