Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Maryland's 1st District?
0.2 pts (24h)PolíticaMonthlyPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202615d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualRepublican Party — Andy Harris 89%+0.2ptLíder entre 3 opções
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-4.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
6/10/26, 05:55 UTC4/11/26, 12:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Maryland's 1st congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
