Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina's 8th District?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202611d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 24 de out. de 2026, 00:14 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualRepublican Party — Mark Harris 94.9%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
6/10/26, 06:09 UTC4/11/26, 12:00 UTC
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ForecastExRegras
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 8th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
