Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual[none of these happen in 2026] 72.2%+2.1ptLíder entre 4 opções
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15
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
+2.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
4/06/26, 01:25 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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[tweet]Update 2026-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For New Glenn and Neutron, the resolution standard is clearing the pad — full success or reaching orbit is not required.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron??
- A Manifold Markets cota [none of these happen in 2026] em 72% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron? é resolvido?
- Which is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Which is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: [tweet]Update 2026-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For New Glenn and Neutron, the resolution standard is clearing the pad — full success or reaching orbit is not required.