Which Democrats will have a 20.00%+ chance of winning the 2028 Dem president nomination at any point?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoPolítica dos EUA1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAOC 61%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado18/02/26, 06:58 UTC31/08/28, 23:59 UTC
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- Resolves yes if the candidate listed is over 20.00% on electionbettingodds at any point before Last state primary is finished.
- When a candidate withdraws from a race, their answer will resolve no.
- If a candidate never enters the race, resolves no after last state primary is finished
- 20.00% must be legitimate average of sites like Kalshi,Polymarket, Betfair etc. any obvious error excluded.
- If site shuts down uses average of popular sites like Kalshi/polymarket.