Which Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualMinnesota - Penny Flanagan 97.2%Líder entre 12 opções
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5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+47.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
6/09/26, 20:16 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model
- on election day 2026 after the polls are closed, I will check Nate Silvers election poll model to resolve this market.
- If the Democratic candidate in the race is leading, their answer will resolve yes.
- If they are losing, resolves no.
- If the Democratic candidate is tied, resolves no.
- Resolves according to the Democratic candidate.