Which 2026 California ballot measures will pass?
2.6 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoPolítica dos EUAXadrezEsportes26d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSecond Mortgage Homebuyer Program and Revenue Bond Initiative 80%+2.6ptLíder entre 6 opções
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17
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
+3.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
21/04/26, 01:25 UTC17/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
I will add new ballot measure strikes as they meet the requirements to appear on the ballot, and rename them once their ballot name and number are available.
- If a listed measure ends up not being on the ballot I will resolve that strike to NO, though I will try not to list any measures I am not reasonably confident will end up on the ballot.
