Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualMiami 100%Líder entre 19 opções
Previsores
33
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 minutos
1/12/25, 22:2531/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Berkeley17%
Comparar plataformas· Miami
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral85% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 89% | — | 932,5 € | 26,1 mil € | há 22 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 100% | — | — | — | há 22 minutos |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
3.0 pts5m
89%
85%
80%
+7 mais resultados
57 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total47,1 mil €
Volume 24h932,5 €
KALSHIRegras
If the Waymo service area overlaps with the city limits at all, that's good enough.
- If only a minority of people have access, it will resolved based on whether any of them got this access by luck or signing up early, rather than by being Waymo employees, journalists, or famous.
- If the cars arrive with Waymo employees in them, or even in the driver seats, the answer resolves Yes if i can find any credible evidence of 1 trip where it's plausible the car was doing more than half of the driving work.
- If it's hard to find evidence of any such trips, it'll resolve No.
- When Waymo launches somewhere, that answer will resolve Yes.
- If they suspend service etc, it will still stay a Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$5013 de jul.4d de dados29 de jul.
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If the Waymo service area overlaps with the city limits at all, that's good enough.
- If only a minority of people have access, it will resolved based on whether any of them got this access by luck or signing up early, rather than by being Waymo employees, journalists, or famous.
- If the cars arrive with Waymo employees in them, or even in the driver seats, the answer resolves Yes if i can find any credible evidence of 1 trip where it's plausible the car was doing more than half of the driving work.
- If it's hard to find evidence of any such trips, it'll resolve No.
- When Waymo launches somewhere, that answer will resolve Yes.
- If they suspend service etc, it will still stay a Yes.