When will we know that COVID-19 came from a laboratory? [Unlinked Multiple Choice Derivative of Existing Market]
TecnologiaOne-OffSaúde e medicinaClima
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBy January 2080 44%Líder entre 14 opções
Previsores
35
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado24/11/23, 22:12 UTC4/10/50, 06:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market is a derivative of the existing largest market about the laboratory release theory:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory)This is an unlinked market, where months can resolve independently.
- If the original market resolves YES, all future months resolve YES.
- If the original market resolves NO, all future months resolve NO.
- Otherwise, a month resolves NO if it arrives without the original market having resolved YES.
- I will add new months as old months expire, and can add more months by request.
