Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Before 2040 74%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado15/09/24, 19:05 UTC1/01/40, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketRegras
Fire & Blood by George R. R. Martin was published in 2018; it is a fictional history book set in the world of the author's as-yet-unfinished fantasy series A Song of Ice and Fire.
- A second volume of the book, with the planned title Blood & Fire, is expected, though Martin has said that he will not publish it before the release of the next novel in the ASOIAF series, The Winds of Winter.
- This is an independent multiple-choice market; each option will resolve YES if the book is published (not just announced) before the year listed in the answer.
- It doesn't matter whether or not the second volume is split into multiple books (as some fans have speculated); the publication of a single sequel to Fire & Blood counts.
- Posthumous publications, including those involving another living author, (like the final books in the The Wheel of Time series) also count.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
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KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,6 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,3 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released??
- A Manifold Markets cota Before 2040 em 74% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released? é resolvido?
- When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2040.
- Como When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Fire & Blood by George R. R. Martin was published in 2018; it is a fictional history book set in the world of the author's as-yet-unfinished fantasy series A Song of Ice and Fire.