Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2031-2040 26%Líder entre 4 opções
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado7/09/26, 04:43 UTC1/01/50, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
To my surprise, humanity has only ever landed one thing there, and it was a crash landing:
- [image]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_landings_on_extraterrestrial_bodies
- Apparently there is an ESA/JAXA mission arriving there this year, but that's just a pair of orbiters:
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BepiColombo
- Maybe the fact that it's the mostest closest might help?
- https://youtu.be/SumDHcnCRuU?si=CyhuL92VK05CAgIF
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will the first successful soft landing of a probe on Mercury happen??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2031-2040 em 26% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will the first successful soft landing of a probe on Mercury happen? é resolvido?
- When will the first successful soft landing of a probe on Mercury happen? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2050.
- Como When will the first successful soft landing of a probe on Mercury happen? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: To my surprise, humanity has only ever landed one thing there, and it was a crash landing: