Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
In 2030 or earlier 41.8%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
48
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado23/02/24, 07:16 UTC2/01/30, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
Regras
The market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX Starship spacecraft launches from or lands on the Earth with human astronauts on board.
- At least one passenger has to survive the maneuver.
- I do not bet on my own markets.
- Similar question about humans on board at any time in the flight:
- @/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-fly-in-space-wit
- Related questions:
Mercados abertos
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 802,6 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- € 736,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers??
- A Manifold Markets cota In 2030 or earlier em 42% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers? é resolvido?
- When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX Starship spacecraft launches from or lands on the Earth with human astronauts on board.