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  3. When will Starship first attempt propellant transfer from one ship to another in orbit?
When will Starship first attempt propellant transfer from one ship to another in orbit?

When will Starship first attempt propellant transfer from one ship to another in orbit?

One-OffSpace3a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Q2 2024 or earlier
Q2 2024 or earlier 0%
Líder entre 21 opções
Previsores

60

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado ontem

Desatualizado
10/02/24, 20:031/01/30, 22:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Before 2026-07-011%

Regras

In Artemis program SpaceX Starship is going to be used as Human Landing System (HLS), landing on the Moon with Artemis astronauts.

Manifold Markets
  • When launched from land, Starship doesn't have enough propellant to get to Moon orbit, let alone Moon surface.
  • To solve this problem, Starship will have to be refueled in orbit.
  • On Starship 3rd flight SpaceX plans to demonstrate propellant transfer within one spacecraft.
  • So far there have been no announcement of the first attempt of propellant transfer between two ships.
  • For this market to resolve positively, the following should happen:

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Regras

In Artemis program SpaceX Starship is going to be used as Human Landing System (HLS), landing on the Moon with Artemis astronauts.

Manifold Markets
  • When launched from land, Starship doesn't have enough propellant to get to Moon orbit, let alone Moon surface.
  • To solve this problem, Starship will have to be refueled in orbit.
  • On Starship 3rd flight SpaceX plans to demonstrate propellant transfer within one spacecraft.
  • So far there have been no announcement of the first attempt of propellant transfer between two ships.
  • For this market to resolve positively, the following should happen: