Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2026 Jul-Dec 53.8%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado19/03/25, 22:06 UTC1/01/30, 07:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiRegras
At time of writing (2025 March), Starship is still a prototype rocket & has not deployed anything to orbit yet.
- This question will resolve when Starship successfully deploys 1+ satellites (eg, Starlink) to orbit AND this has already happened once before.
- Motive: This launch should correlate with the end of Starship testing & the start of a useful decrease in price to LEO.
- Clarifications:
- Starship doing orbital fuel transfer would not count
- The satellites must stay on their intended trajectories for at least 24 hours after deployment
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2026 Jul-Dec em 54% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time? é resolvido?
- When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: At time of writing (2025 March), Starship is still a prototype rocket & has not deployed anything to orbit yet.