Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore Jan 2028 63%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+13.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 51 minutos
Atrasado28/10/26, 02:20 UTC2/01/28, 02:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026?
FutuurFlávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by which date?
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KalshiWill the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market is independent multiple-choice.
- Each answer corresponds to a cumulative deadline and will resolve YES if Flávio Bolsonaro physically returns to Brazilian territory before 00:00 UTC on the specified date, and NO otherwise.
- Following his defeat in the October 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff against Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro left the country for the United States in late October 2026.
- His departure occurred amid ongoing investigations into alleged corruption and money laundering, and followed an order by the Brazilian Supreme Court to surrender his passports and remain in the country.
- His Senate mandate is slated to expire in early 2027, removing legislative immunities.