Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOther 41.9%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+1.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado9/08/26, 02:56 UTC1/01/35, 03:53 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump Die before 2027
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
KalshiWill Donald Trump issue a public apology?
KalshiRegras
Resolves to year Donald Trump dies.
- He will be 87 in 2033, so Other is 88 or older at the time of this market creation.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 592,5 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 220,4 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 214,6 mil
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Donald Trump die??
- A Manifold Markets cota Other em 42% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Donald Trump die? é resolvido?
- When will Donald Trump die? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como When will Donald Trump die? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves to year Donald Trump dies.