Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual> 1 month 99%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
27
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado13/05/26, 23:42 UTC13/09/30, 23:42 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Keir Starmer's successor have a longer tenure as prime minister than Keir?
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the duration of the next UK Prime Minister's continuous tenure after Keir Starmer, starting from the date they are officially sworn into office.
- The duration will be measured by the time elapsed between their appointment and the date they officially leave office (the day their successor is appointed or they formally resign/are removed).
- Resolution will be determined using the official records from gov.uk and major credible news outlets such as the BBC or Reuters.
- Each answer option corresponds to the PM remaining in office for a duration strictly greater than the specified time.
- If multiple options are met (e.g., if a PM stays for 2 years, the "> 1 month," "> 6 months," and "> 1 year" options will all resolve YES), this market allows for independent resolution of each answer.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer)?
- A Manifold Markets cota > 1 month em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer) é resolvido?
- Next UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer) deverá ser resolvido em 13 de setembro de 2030.
- Como Next UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria