What will be the next book/story in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” universe released by George R. R. Martin (in his life)?
Entretenimento
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualA book in the main ASOIAF series (ie a sequel to “A Dance with Dragons”, eg “The Winds of Winter”) 49.2%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado8/04/25, 17:11 UTC31/12/49, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Manifold MarketsWill Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Manifold MarketsWill the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
Manifold MarketsWill the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketTop Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
KalshiRegras
George R. R. Martin has released a number of works in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” (ASOIAF) universe since his 1996 novel “A Game of Thrones”.
- The most recent work in the universe was “Fire & Blood”, an in-universe history book published in 2018, while the main series of ASOIAF novels is still unfinished, with five of a projected seven novels published.
- Martin’s age (he was born in 1948) and slow progress with the books has led to concerns among fans that the main series and “Dunk and Egg” novellas will not be finished.
- This market resolves to the next book or story (eg a short story in an anthology) officially written by Martin (possibly with a collaborator or collaborators) and released within his lifetime.
- Books and stories must have substantial new content (eg a book consisting of an extract of “Fire & Blood” would not count), though they may overlap (eg a second volume of “Fire & Blood” would likely have some content in common with “The World of Ice and Fire”).
- An official release is needed, so leaks would not count.