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Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

One-OffEntretenimento Society & Culture3a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 59.3%

Previsores

102

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 14 horas

Desatualizado

13/10/23, 12:47 UTC1/01/30, 22:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

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Regras

This question focuses specifically on "The Winds of Winter".

The condition would be fulfilled if the title matches or has resemblance to "The Winds of Winter", such as "A Few Winds of Winter", "The Winds of Snow" or "The Tornados of Winter".
Simply having a sixth book isn't sufficient to resolve this market yes.
If a notably different title is utilized, I'd rely on George R.R. Martin's statements and media reports to determine if the content planned for the sixth book aligns with or resembles what was envisioned for "The Winds of Winter".
For instance, if Martin decided to write another book in between and published it as th sixth book of "A Song of Ice and Fire" series, this question would remain unresolved.
It must be published in an unlimited edition or a limited edition with at least 100 000 books.

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Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death??: A Manifold Markets cota No em 59% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
Quando Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death? é resolvido?: Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
Como Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question focuses specifically on "The Winds of Winter".

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