What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

Regulamentação IA Tecnologia5m

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados

Dados de 16 de jul. de 2026, 01:10 UTC · política pm-quality-3

Previsão da comunidade atual

Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style) 93.6%+5.2pt

Líder entre 8 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 12 dias

Desatualizado

22/05/25, 7:0131/12/26, 7:56

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

AR/VR Goggles

0.1%

Phone

0.5%

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Earbuds1%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Feel free to suggest other options, I will add them if I think I can resolve them relative to existing options.

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the specific type of device that OpenAI and Jony Ive first releases, regardless of the form the collaboration takes exactly.
The resolution will be based on official announcements from OpenAI or reputable news sources confirming the product's launch and the involvement of both parties.
If the device does not match any of the listed options, the market will resolve to "Other."
On May 21, 2025, OpenAI announced the acquisition of io, a hardware startup founded by former Apple designer Jony Ive, in a deal valued at approximately $6.5 billion.

Tendência de volume

$114

14 de jul.3d de dados16 de jul.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$63,340.19-2.97%

EthereumETH$1,879.68-3.76%

SolanaSOL$73.25-4.00%

Mercados Relacionados

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

307,6 €

≥$1T: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027

246 €

≥$1.5T: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026

Anthropic IPO by __?

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

3,2 mil €

Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%

KALSHI

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

1,6 mil €

Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.0701-3.67%

BNBBNB$565.35-1.43%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.49%

ZcashZEC$477.32-5.20%

Shiba InuSHIB$0.00000469-7.84%

HyperliquidHYPE$56.33-6.44%

Notícias Relacionadas

CFTC Flags ‘Cookie-Cutter’ Self-Certification in Prediction MarketsBlockchain Reporter

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Regras

Feel free to suggest other options, I will add them if I think I can resolve them relative to existing options.

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the specific type of device that OpenAI and Jony Ive first releases, regardless of the form the collaboration takes exactly.
The resolution will be based on official announcements from OpenAI or reputable news sources confirming the product's launch and the involvement of both parties.
If the device does not match any of the listed options, the market will resolve to "Other."
On May 21, 2025, OpenAI announced the acquisition of io, a hardware startup founded by former Apple designer Jony Ive, in a deal valued at approximately $6.5 billion.

What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

Regulamentação IA Tecnologia5m

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados

Dados de 16 de jul. de 2026, 01:10 UTC · política pm-quality-3

Previsão da comunidade atual

Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style) 93.6%+5.2pt

Líder entre 8 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 12 dias

Desatualizado

22/05/25, 7:0131/12/26, 7:56

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

AR/VR Goggles

0.1%

Phone

0.5%

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Earbuds1%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Feel free to suggest other options, I will add them if I think I can resolve them relative to existing options.

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the specific type of device that OpenAI and Jony Ive first releases, regardless of the form the collaboration takes exactly.
The resolution will be based on official announcements from OpenAI or reputable news sources confirming the product's launch and the involvement of both parties.
If the device does not match any of the listed options, the market will resolve to "Other."
On May 21, 2025, OpenAI announced the acquisition of io, a hardware startup founded by former Apple designer Jony Ive, in a deal valued at approximately $6.5 billion.

Tendência de volume

$114

14 de jul.3d de dados16 de jul.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$63,340.19-2.97%

EthereumETH$1,879.68-3.76%

SolanaSOL$73.25-4.00%

Mercados Relacionados

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

307,6 €

≥$1T: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027

246 €

≥$1.5T: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026

Anthropic IPO by __?

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

3,2 mil €

Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%

KALSHI

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

1,6 mil €

Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.0701-3.67%

BNBBNB$565.35-1.43%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.49%

ZcashZEC$477.32-5.20%

Shiba InuSHIB$0.00000469-7.84%

HyperliquidHYPE$56.33-6.44%

Notícias Relacionadas

CFTC Flags ‘Cookie-Cutter’ Self-Certification in Prediction MarketsBlockchain Reporter

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Regras

Feel free to suggest other options, I will add them if I think I can resolve them relative to existing options.

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the specific type of device that OpenAI and Jony Ive first releases, regardless of the form the collaboration takes exactly.
The resolution will be based on official announcements from OpenAI or reputable news sources confirming the product's launch and the involvement of both parties.
If the device does not match any of the listed options, the market will resolve to "Other."
On May 21, 2025, OpenAI announced the acquisition of io, a hardware startup founded by former Apple designer Jony Ive, in a deal valued at approximately $6.5 billion.