Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOther 36.2%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado25/04/26, 15:13 UTC7/11/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be President on Election Day 2028? (Add answers.)
Manifold Markets🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold Markets🫏🐘 What will happen depending on if Dems/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true of the elected US president in 2028? (ADD ANSWERS)
Manifold MarketsWill any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegras
The market resolves to whichever third party receives the most electoral votes, and if that is a tie, whichever party receives highest percentage of the popular vote in the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Results will be determined by official FEC data and major news outlets reporting final vote tallies.
- If a party changes its name but stays basically the same party, it will be considered the same party.
- If someone runs as an Independent, they can be added to this list.
