Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore July 2027 83.7%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado18/10/25, 14:11 UTC1/07/27, 14:07 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date when Waymo officially launches a fully driverless (no human safety driver present) public ride-hailing service in London.
- The service must be generally available to the public for booking rides via the Waymo app or a confirmed partner application.
- The resolution will be based on an official announcement from Waymo (e.g., on its official blog or press releases) or a definitive statement from the UK Department for Transport (DfT) or Transport for London (TfL) confirming the commercial availability of such a service.
- Evidence of availability will include the ability for the general public to request and complete rides without a human safety driver in the vehicle.
- The mere commencement of testing with or without safety drivers, or limited pilot programs not generally available to the public, will not be sufficient for resolution.
Mercados abertos
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- € 961,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 741,9 mil
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- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
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- Volume total
- € 701,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 685,8 mil
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- 40-590%
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
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- $68,500 or above97%
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- Volume total
- € 907,2 mil
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- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
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- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Waymo generally available in London when??
- A Manifold Markets cota Before July 2027 em 84% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Waymo generally available in London when? é resolvido?
- Waymo generally available in London when? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de julho de 2027.
- Como Waymo generally available in London when? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria