Venezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAGeopolíticaAmérica LatinaCrime e justiça3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 76.2%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
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Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado5/04/26, 01:39 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro dies while in the custody of the United States government (e.g., in a federal detention center, prison, or during transport) on or before April 5, 2027.
- The market will resolve to "No" if he is still alive upon his release from U.S. custody or if he remains alive in custody after that date.
- Resolution will be based on consensus reporting from major international and U.S. news outlets (e.g., The Associated Press, Reuters, BBC, The New York Times).
- Official statements from the U.S. Bureau of Prisons or the U.S. Department of Justice will be considered primary evidence.
- Nicolás Maduro, the former president of Venezuela, is currently being held at the Metropolitan Detention Center (MDC) in Brooklyn, New York.