KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Shell · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Preço registado
Shell 65%Líder entre 3 opções
Shell 65%Qualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Contratos em aberto
1,8 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
— / —
ShellSpread
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
3/09/26, 23:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Shell
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by which date?
PolymarketNext Venezuelan President
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
PolymarketWill former Venezuelan president Nicolaus Maduro come back to power in 2026
Manifold MarketsVenezuelan Primera División: 2026 Winner
PolymarketVenezuelan Primera División: 2026 Runner-Up
PolymarketRegras
If Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states the event claim occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) is presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. A named company satisfies this criterion if it or a controlled affiliate signs a binding agreement that directly grants the named company or controlled affiliate an enforceable upstream ownership, working, concession, production-sharing, or comparable economic participation right to explore for, develop, or produce crude oil at a Venezuelan upstream asset. Associated obligations are permitted, but performance obligations alone do not qualify. The counterparty may be Venezuela, PDVSA, a PDVSA affiliate, or another party legally authorized to grant those rights. A company statement or announcement without a signed binding agreement, a preliminary or nonbinding memorandum, negotiations, an expression of interest, due diligence, data-room access, a technical visit, a government license or sanctions authorization alone, financing, service-provider work, oil trading, refining, transport, or gas-only activity does NOT qualify.
Regras de cada resultado
- Shell
- If Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ExxonMobil
- If ExxonMobil signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ConocoPhillips
- If ConocoPhillips signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.