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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market
Manifold Markets

US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market

One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição4m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
Connie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins 67%
Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores

14

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 dias

Desatualizado
13/05/26, 16:103/11/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Manifold Markets
Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Saikat Chakrabarti wins
0.5%

Resultado escolhido

Connie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins67%

Regras

All options assume Scott Wiener advances to the general election -- market resolves N/A if not.

Manifold Markets
  • For example, if the primary result ends up as Connie Chan + Scott Wiener, then we know the Saikat options will resolve No, and after the final result one of the remaining options will resolve Yes.
  • Market closes based on official results https://www.sf.gov/departments--department-elections.

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Regras

All options assume Scott Wiener advances to the general election -- market resolves N/A if not.

Manifold Markets
  • For example, if the primary result ends up as Connie Chan + Scott Wiener, then we know the Saikat options will resolve No, and after the final result one of the remaining options will resolve Yes.
  • Market closes based on official results https://www.sf.gov/departments--department-elections.