Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 98%
Previsores
43
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado3/01/26, 20:51 UTC1/01/27, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump dies at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution will be based on confirmation from major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, etc.) or official government sources.
- The market resolves NO if Trump survives through December 31, 2026.
- Trump is currently 79 years old and will turn 80 this year.
- He is the oldest person in American history to be inaugurated as president.
