Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.3%
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47
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado8/01/25, 12:14 UTC2/02/29, 07:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Republicans lawmakers try to repeal the current presidential term limit before the 2028 election?
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FutuurTrump seriously attempts 3rd term in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This is about whether Trump succeeds in breaking the two term presidential term limit, either by being a candidate in 2028, or not giving up power after the 2024 term is up
- NOT breaking the limit looks like: two or more candidates, not including Trump, run in 2028 and then in 2029 the winner is in power and Trump leaves the White House.
- Or Trump leaves office early for any reason such as health, political loss or prosecution or flight.
- Even if he is overseas claiming to be the rightful president, if he's gone and not in control of the levers of power then NO
- If Trump tries a bunch of YES like things but doesn't succeed and both the election happens as usual and Trump loses power at inauguration, then this can still NO.
- Its about whether he succeeds at going against the traditional two term limit.
