Quais são as probabilidades atuais de The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be...?

A Manifold Markets cota a robot em 65.1% em 31 de outubro de 2026.

Quando The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be... é resolvido?

The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be... deverá ser resolvido em 5 de abril de 2042.

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

a robot 65.1%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Variação 7d

0.0 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 horas

Desatualizado

29/03/24, 13:38 UTC5/04/42, 06:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

For this market a "humanoid robot" will be defined as having two (and only two) legs, which are used for significant travel on the surface.

To simplify judgement of what is or isn't humanoid, there is no requirement that the overall appearance be like that of the named outcome.
For example, a two-legged robot whose knees point backward and with dinner-plates for feet would still count as humanoid.