Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 55%
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7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado2/01/26, 07:46 UTC12/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
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- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
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- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
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- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
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- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
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- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
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KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
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KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
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- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Text diffusion models will hit the mainstream in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 55% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Text diffusion models will hit the mainstream in 2026 é resolvido?
- Text diffusion models will hit the mainstream in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 12 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Text diffusion models will hit the mainstream in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026