Talarico and El-Sayed combined margin of victory of 10% or more?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição9dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 21:13 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 64.3%
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5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado22/10/26, 23:10 UTC4/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if James Talarico (texas senate) and Abdul el sayed (Michigan senate) combined margin of victory is 10% or more.
- Margin of victory is their vote percent total minus the second place candidates vote percent total.
- If they lose, their margin of victory will be a negative number.
- For example if Talarico wins by 4% and el sayed by 7%, this market will resolve yes.(11% more than 10%)
- If Talarico wins by 3% and el sayed by 3%, this would resolve no (6% less than 10%)
- If Talarico loses by 2% and el sayed wins by 2%, then this would resolve no (-2+2+0, which is less than 10)
