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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?
Manifold Markets

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoEurope3a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority 6%
Previsores

7

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

20/06/26, 10:5531/12/29, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority6%

Regras

Labour may or may not be about to replace Keir Starmer with Andy Burnham.

Manifold Markets
  • The major reason they're considering this because they hope it'll improve their chances in the next election.
  • This is a "Decision Market", in which you can bet on labour to win in either case - in principle, this could help Labour make that big decision!
  • Here's how it works.
  • Suppose for a moment that Burnham becomes labour leader.
  • Then there will be refunds for everyone who bet Assuming Starmer is Labour leader - whether they bet labour wins or they bet labour loses.

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Regras

Labour may or may not be about to replace Keir Starmer with Andy Burnham.

Manifold Markets
  • The major reason they're considering this because they hope it'll improve their chances in the next election.
  • This is a "Decision Market", in which you can bet on labour to win in either case - in principle, this could help Labour make that big decision!
  • Here's how it works.
  • Suppose for a moment that Burnham becomes labour leader.
  • Then there will be refunds for everyone who bet Assuming Starmer is Labour leader - whether they bet labour wins or they bet labour loses.