Republicans win Texas governor by 6+ points?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 202612d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72%
Previsores
28
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
11/10/26, 01:42 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTexas Governor Election Winner
PolymarketTexas Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketTexas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTexas Governor margin of victory
Manifold MarketsRegras
2026 Texas gubernatorial election - Wikipedia
- Greg Abbott is the Republican nominee.
- Resolves Yes if the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 6 percentage points or more.Outcome verified from Texas Secretary of State or Associated Press.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Resolves same as Kalshi
