1k subsidy! Republican nominee for Minnesota governor 2026?
75.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleiçãoManifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Lisa Demuth (31.9%)
Resolvido: 12 de ago. de 2026, 02:35
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualMike Lindell 57.8%-75.5ptLíder entre 8 opções
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-39.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 dias
Desatualizado21/12/25, 22:0212/08/26, 0:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Mike Lindell57.8%
Lisa Demuth31.9%
Scott Jensen2.5%
Phil Parrish1%
Kristin Robbins1%
Kendall Qualls3.9%
Patrick Knight1%
Other1%
57.8%
31.9%
3.9%
2.5%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regras
Resolution criteria
- The 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election is scheduled for November 3, 2026, with primary elections on August 11, 2026.
- The Republican nominee will be determined through Minnesota's traditional process where candidates are selected at a statewide convention through the endorsement of party delegates, rather than solely relying on primary results.
- Candidates must win over the party faithful at the GOP endorsing convention in spring, and some have indicated they will take the race to a primary in August if they don't get the endorsement.
- The market resolves to whichever candidate wins the Republican Party's official endorsement or, if no candidate receives the endorsement, whichever candidate wins the August 2026 Republican primary election.
- the named outcome won the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial straw poll in December 2025 with 93 delegate votes, followed by the named outcome with 90 and the named outcome with 49.
