Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.2%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
5/05/25, 04:30 UTC2/01/30, 05:29 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the hypothetical Planet 9 be discovered before 2028?
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Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the hypothetical Planet Nine is officially named "Hades" upon its confirmed discovery.
- The official naming must be recognized by the International Astronomical Union (IAU) or an equivalent authoritative body.
- If Planet Nine is discovered and given a different name, or if it remains undiscovered by the market's closing date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Planet Nine is a theoretical ninth planet in the outer Solar System, proposed to explain the unusual clustering of certain trans-Neptunian objects' orbits.
- Its existence remains unconfirmed, and no official name has been assigned.
Mercados abertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 89,7 mil
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volume total
- € 101,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 26,2 mil
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 mais resultados
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volume total
- € 817,5 mil
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
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- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery? é resolvido?
- Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria: