Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 66.9%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado3/01/26, 06:07 UTC14/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Dan Osborn is running for Senate in Nebraska again in 2026, and is once again expected to make it a relatively close race in a deep red state.
- He is running against a different candidate, Pete Ricketts, this time though. 2026 is also expected to favor the democrats, though Osborn is an independent and has refused the Democratic endorsement.
- The market will resolve to YES if Dan Osborn receives more than the 46.52% of the vote he got in 2024.
- It is NOT based on margin of victory or loss, just voteshare
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Osborn outperforms his 2024 results??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 67% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Osborn outperforms his 2024 results? é resolvido?
- Osborn outperforms his 2024 results? deverá ser resolvido em 14 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Osborn outperforms his 2024 results? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Dan Osborn is running for Senate in Nebraska again in 2026, and is once again expected to make it a relatively close race in a deep red state.