OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO?
RegulamentaçãoIAOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & CorporateTecnologia14aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.6%
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15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado22/11/25, 00:30 UTC31/12/40, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
According to reports, OpenAI is now in damage-control mode after having been bested by Google's models on nearly all benchmarks.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if OpenAI either collapses (becomes insolvent or ceases operations) or is acquired by another company before completing an initial public offering.
- Resolution is based on public announcements from OpenAI, acquiring parties, or regulatory filings (SEC filings, bankruptcy court documents).
- The market resolves NO if OpenAI successfully completes an IPO.
- If OpenAI files for IPO but the offering is withdrawn or fails to complete, the market resolves YES.
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RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 182,3 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
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- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO? é resolvido?
- OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2040.
- Como OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: According to reports, OpenAI is now in damage-control mode after having been bested by Google's models on nearly all benchmarks.