OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO?
RegulamentaçãoIAOne-OffEventos corporativosNegócios e empresasTecnologia14a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.6%
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15
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado22/11/25, 00:30 UTC31/12/40, 23:59 UTC
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According to reports, OpenAI is now in damage-control mode after having been bested by Google's models on nearly all benchmarks.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if OpenAI either collapses (becomes insolvent or ceases operations) or is acquired by another company before completing an initial public offering.
- Resolution is based on public announcements from OpenAI, acquiring parties, or regulatory filings (SEC filings, bankruptcy court documents).
- The market resolves NO if OpenAI successfully completes an IPO.
- If OpenAI files for IPO but the offering is withdrawn or fails to complete, the market resolves YES.
