Will Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
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Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 05:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 94%
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Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado27/06/26, 15:55 UTC30/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic completes a public stock listing before OpenAI.
- This market resolves to NO if OpenAI completes a public stock listing before Anthropic.
- Resolution Rules:
- Definition of Public Listing: A company is deemed to have completed its public listing when its common stock begins trading on a major regulated stock exchange (such as the NYSE or NASDAQ) via a traditional initial public offering (IPO), direct listing, or SPAC merger.
- Timing: The relative order will be determined by the calendar date (and, if necessary, the precise timestamp of the first public trade) on which each company’s shares begin trading.