Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 70.2%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
21/03/26, 17:31 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern
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KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- The 2026 New Zealand general election is scheduled for 7 November 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Labour forms a government following the election without requiring confidence and supply or coalition support from Te Pāti Māori.
- This includes scenarios where Labour governs alone or with support from other parties (such as the Green Party or New Zealand First), but excludes any arrangement requiring Te Pāti Māori's parliamentary support.
- Resolution will be determined by official government formation announcements from the Governor-General and confirmed through New Zealand Parliament records at parliament.nz.
- Te Pāti Māori received 88,000 votes at the last election, or just over 3% of the total party vote, and took six of the seven Māori electorate seats.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 70% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori é resolvido?
- New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria