Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado
Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 64.2%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado
21/05/25, 17:10 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Regras
Oscar-winning director László Nemes (Son of Saul) is set to adapt Cormac McCarthy’s novel Outer Dark into a feature film.
The film will star Jacob Elordi (Euphoria, Saltburn) and Lily-Rose Depp (Nosferatu, The Idol) as siblings entangled in a harrowing tale set in Depression-era Appalachia.
Production is scheduled to begin in 2026, with an anticipated release in mid-2027.
This market will resolve to YES if, by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2027, a new Outer Dark film:
Has a confirmed theatrical release in any country, evidenced by listings on reputable platforms such as IMDb, Box Office Mojo, or official press releases.
Is available for streaming on a major platform accessible in the U.S., including but not limited to Netflix, Amazon Prime Video, Hulu, Max, Apple TV+, or Disney+.
Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028??
A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 64% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
Quando Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028? é resolvido?
Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
Como Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028? é liquidado?
A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Oscar-winning director László Nemes (Son of Saul) is set to adapt Cormac McCarthy’s novel Outer Dark into a feature film.