New Jersey's 9th District margin of victory
12.6 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20261a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 21:13 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualPou, 2+ pts 89%+12.6ptLíder entre 9 opções
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+39.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado24/10/26, 19:33 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in New Jersey's 8th District?
Manifold MarketsWill Tom Malinowski win the New Jersey 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Tom Kean Jr. win the New Jersey 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRegras
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-nj09d
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 9th District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
