KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Democrats, 25+ pts 74%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
8,6 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
7.4 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
5/05/26, 20:24 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 12th District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de New Jersey's 12th District margin of victory?
- A Kalshi cota Democrats, 25+ pts em 74% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando New Jersey's 12th District margin of victory é resolvido?
- New Jersey's 12th District margin of victory deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como New Jersey's 12th District margin of victory é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 12th District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.