Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028?
PolíticaOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 96.2%
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10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado24/08/26, 22:57 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, Natalie Harp gives birth to a child of whom Donald J. Trump is the biological father.
- Verification will rely on credible mainstream news sources (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times) or official public announcements from Donald J. Trump, Natalie Harp, or their authorized representatives.
- If a birth is confirmed but paternity is publicly disputed or unverified by the cutoff date, resolution may be delayed by up to three months (until March 31, 2029) to await official confirmation or DNA parentage test results.
- If paternity is not confirmed by this extended deadline, the market will resolve to NO.
- If no birth occurs, or if Natalie Harp births a child fathered by someone else, the market will resolve to NO.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028? é resolvido?
- Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria