[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
ChinaOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.5%
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Atualizado há 20 horas
Desatualizado10/07/24, 22:57 UTC2/01/30, 12:00 UTC
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Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21869/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2030, the U.S. makes an official statement threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan, if Taiwan is attacked by an adversary.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? é resolvido?
- [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?